2007 Cubs Projections

by Eli Greenspan on Jan 4, 2007 1:27 AM EST

C Michael Barrett
.292 AVG, 20 HR, 71 RBI
1B Derrek Lee
.312 AVG, 36 HR, 109 RBI
2B Mark DeRosa
.268 AVG, 11 HR, 65 RBI
3B Aramis Ramirez
.306 AVG, 41 HR, 125 RBI
SS Cesar Izturis
.254 AVG, 6 HR, 61 RBI
*OF Matt Murton
.286 AVG, 18 HR, 79 RBI
*OF Jacque Jones
.276 AVG, 23 HR, 81 RBI
*OF Alfonso Soriano
.282 AVG, 39 HR, 92 RBI

SP Carlos Zambrano
18-6 W-L, 3.09 ERA, 212 K
SP Ted Lilly
15-9 W-L, 4.11 ERA, 151 K
SP Rich Hill
14-11 W-L, 3.87 ERA, 124 K
SP Jason Marquis
10-9 W-L, 5.16 ERA, 102 K
SP Uknown
Mark Prior
Sean Marshall
Wade Miller
Carlos Marmol

A projection will be given when a timetable is set for Mark Prior's return.
*The outfield is not set position wise, and it is possible that Jacque Jones will be traded.

NOTE: THIS IS A TENTATIVE PROJECTION, SUBJECT TO CHANGE

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good projections, the only one i disagree with is rich hill, i think he will get double digit wins, but will have 12 wins and about 8-9 wins. Anyways i think it is great. you you mind doing the marlins, i am from there and I have a fantasy site for the marlins I will also publish it on, if that is okay

by Anonymous on Jan 4, 2007 4:32 PM EST reply actions

marquis ERA will be better about mid four, and will win around 13.

derosa will hit over .270 avg

murton will homer over 20

by Anonymous on Jan 4, 2007 6:16 PM EST reply actions

i think hill's era should be lower

by Anonymous on Jan 4, 2007 6:40 PM EST reply actions

Only a small quibble, but I don't see how Hill will win 14 games and only strike out 124 batters. He had 90 Ks in 99 innings last year (79 K in 80 IP in the second half when he figured it out), and 227 Ks in his last 165 innings in AAA. If he pitches enough to win 14 games, I don't see how he won't top 150 Ks.

by Anonymous on Jan 5, 2007 11:24 AM EST reply actions

I thought Pie was a starting outfielder?

by Anonymous on Jan 5, 2007 4:32 PM EST reply actions

if JACQUE JONES IS TRADED AND FELIX PIE PLAYS REGULAR OUTFIELD IN SPRING TRAINING, a projection will come...but as of right now, he will get the starting job in 2008

by Eli on Jan 5, 2007 5:24 PM EST reply actions

GOod projections ELi. YOu have mucho cojones with those stats.

by KL on Jan 5, 2007 6:05 PM EST reply actions

Will these predictions add up to 86 wins, as predicted by SI and the stat-y folks?

I, for one, am predicting 89 wins.

by Wrigleyville on Jan 7, 2007 11:18 PM EST reply actions

well when I know who the fifth starter is, I will let you know. But if the bullpen can get at least 20 wins on its own, then yes we should get close to 90

by Eli on Jan 8, 2007 1:26 AM EST reply actions