2008 Blue Jays Projections

by Eli Greenspan on Jan 31, 2008 6:03 PM EST

DH Frank Thomas
.262 AVG, 21 HR, 84 RBI
C Gregg Zaun
.238 AVG, 8 HR, 43 RBI
1B Lyle Overbay
.278 AVG, 18 HR, 66 RBI
2B Aaron Hill
.295 AVG, 14 HR, 72 RBI
3B Scott Rolen
.261 AVG, 16 HR, 74 RBI
SS David Eckstein
.277 AVG, 2 HR, 39 RBI
LF Shannon Stewart
.283 AVG, 8 HR, 58 RBI
CF Vernon Wells
.282 AVG, 22 HR, 91 RBI
RF Alexis Rios
.286 AVG, 29 HR, 97 RBI

SP Roy Halladay
13-9 W-L, 3.40 ERA, 132 K
SP A.J. Burnett
15-9 W-L, 3.72 ERA, 202 K
SP Dustin McGowan
14-7 W-L, 3.82 ERA, 127 K
SP Shaun Marcum
10-6 W-L, 4.34 ERA, 119 K
SP Jesse Litsch
14-10 W-L, 4.29 ERA, 95 K

NOTE: THIS IS A PROJECTION, SUBJECT TO CHANGE.

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i think that mcgowan and litsch will grow and help the twins...but marcum projection seems generous. To give them an extra 10 wins seems like a lot. But then again, this projection will put them at about 81-84 wins, which seems very reasonable. I don't know...we'll see

by Anonymous on Jan 31, 2008 6:31 PM EST reply actions

i like burnett...contract year

all about money

so far so good eli

by Anonymous on Jan 31, 2008 6:49 PM EST reply actions

Litsch finishes with the same number of wins as Halladay? and Burnett with one more? Really?

by Anonymous on Jan 31, 2008 7:27 PM EST reply actions

i think he may be a little generous with litsh...but burnett seems right on, if healthy.

by Anonymous on Jan 31, 2008 11:52 PM EST reply actions

I like McGowan's projection, except for the strikeouts. Considering he has always had a strikeout rate of about 8 K's per nine.

Considering his projected 20 decisions, he has to pitch 180 to 200 innings.

160 to 180 K's would make more sense. He is not going to morph into a soft-tosser over night...

by Mike Clarke on Feb 1, 2008 9:56 AM EST reply actions

The way i see it happenin'
Halladay 18-7
Burnett 13-8
McGowan 17-8
Marcum 12-8
Litch 8-8

by Anonymous on Feb 1, 2008 11:22 AM EST reply actions

You could be right. McGowan might turn out to be the best and most durable Blue Jays starter this year!

by Mike Clarke on Feb 1, 2008 12:51 PM EST reply actions

recheck wells stats for 07

by Anonymous on Feb 1, 2008 3:11 PM EST reply actions

I can really see mcgowan breaking out this season, 180+IP and 160+K's, Allstar. I can also see a monster season from halladay if he can stay healthy. Other than that the lineup looks good on paper atleast. If healthy, wild card in distance.

by Anonymous on Feb 1, 2008 5:44 PM EST reply actions

I think you might be underrating halladay and burnett and underrating the others. Remember, the last time Halladay was healthy for a full season, he won 22 games. Last year, he was down a couple of weeks with the appendicitis. So as long as they stays healthy i predict 18 wins. The offensive predictions are pretty much spot on except I can see Aaron Hill hitting with much more power and Greg Zaun having a higher batting average. Good work.

by Anonymous on Mar 29, 2008 5:03 PM EDT reply actions