2008 Tigers Projections

by Eli Greenspan on Mar 19, 2008 10:56 PM EDT

DH Gary Sheffield
.274 AVG, 15 HR, 85 RBI
C Ivan Rodriguez
.270 AVG, 12 HR, 60 RBI
1B Carlos Guillen
.292 AVG, 15 HR, 82 RBI
2B Placido Polanco
.286 AVG, 7 HR, 69 RBI
3B Miguel Cabrera
.311 AVG, 39 HR, 128 RBI
SS Edgar Renteria
.288 AVG, 10 HR, 66 RBI
LF Jacque Jones
.277 AVG, 11 HR, 57 RBI
CF Curtis Granderson
.296 AVG, 17 HR, 86 RBI
RF Magglio Ordonez
.313 AVG, 26 HR, 113 RBI

3B/C Brandon Inge
.247 AVG, 8 HR, 46 RBI

SP Justin Verlander
21-8 W-L, 3.46 ERA, 169 K
SP Kenny Rogers
8-6 W-L, 4.26 ERA, 58 K
SP Jeremy Bonderman
14-9 W-L, 4.56 ERA, 162 K
SP Dontrelle Willis
13-11 W-L, 4.98 ERA, 158 K
SP Nate Robertson
11-12 W-L, 4.62 ERA, 113 K

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i like verlander. solid pitcher on a team with a lot of run production. I think that total is you are assuming the bullpen will be solid.

by Anonymous on Mar 19, 2008 11:24 PM EDT reply actions

Dontrelle's projections are ridiculous. He was bad in the NL, he'll be equal or worse in the AL in my opinion.

by Anonymous on Mar 19, 2008 11:52 PM EDT reply actions

he was playing for a bad team in the NL in a good division. He moves to a great team in a mediocore division. dont forget, he has 22 wins and a 2.6 ERA just a couple years back.

We'll see, but thanks for the opinion.

by Eli on Mar 20, 2008 12:15 AM EDT reply actions

You make a good point, but I think you may be undervaluing the AL Central, plus he will be pitching against the AL Easy as well. I like the Indians very much and think that the White Sox have a potent line-up but may not have the pitching needed to get it done. the rest of the pitching on the tigers seems about right, it's just D-Train's that wrongs me. I would looove to see him succeed, he's one of my favorites.

by Anonymous on Mar 20, 2008 12:25 AM EDT reply actions

I find it very hard to believe that only miggy and mags gets more than 100 rbis!!! Gary with 75 rbis??

by Anonymous on Mar 20, 2008 12:32 AM EDT reply actions

But take out 2005 and Willis' career numbers plummet to 46-44 with a 4.55 ERA and 1.43 WHIP.

And over the last two years, his BB/9 and hits/9 dramatically increased, numbers that can be attributed directly to his ability to pitch effectively and not so much to his team's overall success and/or run support.

There are concerns there. And top to bottom, he will face more quality teams in the AL than he did in the NL, regardless of division. The Tigers will play Cleveland 18 times and the Yankees, Red Sox and Angels eight times each, something he didn't do in the NL.

He may win 15 games with that offense but if he posts an ERA below 4.30 I would be extremely shocked.

by Anonymous on Mar 20, 2008 12:56 AM EDT reply actions

eli-i would bet u anything that 1. willis finishes with an era over 5 and 2. pudge hits more homeruns than jacque jones and polanco combined...ivan already has 6 this spring and looks to be ready for a solid comback season

by Alex Prybell on Mar 20, 2008 1:19 AM EDT reply actions

Your projections are whack, and seems like you put no thought into them. Plus the AL Central is not a mdeiocre divison it is the toughest divsion in baseball right now. Before you make these posts please put some thought into them.

by Anonymous on Mar 20, 2008 11:42 AM EDT reply actions

u cant judge stats on ST thats just dumb because he hit those HR off the pitches not best pitches i think this was another good one eli but i think a few less wins for verlander and willis because of a bad BP

by Anonymous on Mar 20, 2008 11:49 AM EDT reply actions

buddy are you kidding me with Placido Polanco numbers? im probably not as baseball smart as you Eli and i really do enjoy reading your page and im not even a tigers fan (CUBIES RULE) but i do know that Polanco hit .341 last year and i dont know why you would drop that number so dramatically to .286. Count on him to not be any where near the .200's he's gonna have another .300 plus season.

by Anonymous on Mar 20, 2008 6:30 PM EDT reply actions

I am a Tigers fan and will go over each player individually to say whether i think your numbers are good...

Sheffield- AVG is OK, Homerun total and RBI total are far too low

Rodriguez-About right, expect a little bit high in each though

Guillen-higher everything, pretty big time

Polanco- You have to be kidding me, Polanco is one of the best hitters in the game. .330+ avg. for him

Cabrera-dead on, maybe higher avg.

Renteria-dead on, higher avg. though

Jones-dead on

Granderson-more homeruns

Magglio-slightly higher everything

Inge-good

Where's Thames?

Verlander-lower ERA, higher K total

Rogers-more wins and Ks

Bonderman-more wins, less losses, lower ERA and waaay more Ks

Dontrelle- Good, less losses

Robertson-more wins, less losses

by Anonymous on Mar 24, 2008 2:52 PM EDT reply actions