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2009 Trade Deadline Preview: Baltimore Orioles

 

Buyers or sellers?

Let's not kid ourselves here the answer is sellers. While they Orioles have remained somewhat stagnant so far it wouldn't be all too surprising if that changed real soon. The Orioles are clearly a team in transition, and given the bevy of young talent they have it's not unrealistic for them to be competing in the AL East somewhere in the near future. But going into July 31 they'll look to move some of their older parts in order to further solidify their promising future.

Short-term need

The Orioles don't necessarily have any glaring short-term needs. I know they probably would like to move a few of their larger contracts, but generally speaking that's about it. As we said they have a ton of young talent, which for the most part isn't being blocked by old, aging players. They do have some expendable parts, which I would expect them to move. When and if that happens, I think they'll just look to continue to acquire more young players.

Long-term need

Develop, Develop, Develop! The Orioles have a tremendous foundation to build around with Adam JonesNick Markakis, and Matt Wieters. Provided they continue to infuse young talent with their core superstars, they've got a shot to be really good in the next few years. They also need to start to develop and acquire quality-starting pitching. They've got a plethora of young pitchers in the minors, but right now they're probably still a year or two away. Look for the Orioles long-term to take the same approach as the Rays did last year, which is continue to acquire young talent at nausea, and hope that it all comes together in and around the same time.

Star-divide

Big leaguers on the market

Four names come to mind here. First there's Aubrey Huff, he's the prototypical trade piece for a team like the Orioles. He's 32, and in the last year of his $8 million contract. Odds are he's not going to resign with the Orioles so it makes sense for them to move him and get something in return. He's only hitting .259 on the year, but his 11 homers lets you know he still has some power left. In a weak trade market Huff could still have some value. Second is Luke Scott, he's without a doubt the Orioles most valuable piece. He's batting .305 with 18 homers and 51 RBIs. He also has a staggering .976 OPS, which is good for forth in the American League. Adding to Scotts value is that he's only set to make $2.4 million this year. If the Orioles elected to move Scott they could use his small contract to command an additional return. Ultimately, the jury is out on whether Scott stays or goes, but my guess would be he goes. Third we have George Sherrill. All reports were that the Orioles have been shopping Sherrill for some time now. A few weeks back it was rumored he may be headed off to the Marlins, but the deal fell through when the Orioles were demanding too much in return. Typically, deals like that get revisited closer to the deadline, and often times the price drops considerably. I would expect that to be the case with Sherrill, I think the Orioles will defiantly move him. There are too many teams looking for left-handed relievers. Sherrill is only 32-years-old (which in left-handed reliever years isn't that old), and he already has 20 saves on the year. He's set to make $2.75 million this year, which is more than reasonable based on his performance. The Orioles have no use for him long-term, and odd's are he'll be gone before they are a serious contender, so it makes sense to move him now while his value is high. Finally we have Danys Baez, the Orioles would love to move Baez given the chance. He's 31, and scheduled to make $7.1 million this year. He's not going to re-up with the O's, so if they could move his hefty contract and get anything in return odds are they will.

Minor league strength

Overall the minor league system for the Orioles is pretty solid. They developed Matt Wieters, who is arguably the best prospect in baseball, and they have some pretty good young pitchers with Brian Matusz,Chris Tillman and Jake Arrieta. They've been fortunate to have some high draft selections, but to their credit they've transformed them into some pretty good players.

Take on short-term money to win?

Zero. However, given their promising young roster the Orioles do have the potential to contend in the near future. They need to continue to develop their young pitching prospects, and if they sprinkle in a few solid veterans they might be good pretty soon. Unfortunately, they always will have the Yankees and Red Sox to contend with, but the Rays of 2008 should be a promising example to the Orioles that patience can pay off. Their not nearly as talented as the 08' Rays, yet, but steadily as they infuse more of their young players into the rotation it's not far fetched to see them contending for an AL East title in the next 3-5 years.

 

For more coverage of the Orioles, check out Camden Chat.

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Comments

Display:

No Brian Roberts or Melvin Mora?

Mora is hurt though, isnt he? I would like to see the O’s move Roberts for young talent, heck if there is a market for Freddy Sanchez, just imagine what it would be for Brian Roberts. Despite the fact that he signed an extension this year, that contract is right in line, imo, with his true value.

If he is being kept on to draw fans to the stadium that is one thing. but if he were traded to the Giants, or the White Sox, or Angels, Mets, lots of teams out there that could use a lead off hitting, switch hitting second baseman. They could build up there farm system even more than what it is right now.

I take young, cheap, potential over old, expensive and good any day. as long as you are continually moving forward and upward in ability and the standings.

by backtocali on Jul 16, 2009 1:07 PM EDT reply actions  

Roberts

Haven’t really heard his name out there at all. I’m sure some teams would be interested, although he does carry that $ 8 million price tag. From what I take he’s kind of a fan favorite in Baltimore, so it might not be a bad idea to hold on to him.

by Matt Buggenhagen on Jul 16, 2009 1:18 PM EDT up reply actions  

But for an allstar 8 million

good hitting 2nd baseman, you could get alot if you ate most of his contract

I Have Spoken.

by The_Fan on Jul 16, 2009 5:55 PM EDT up reply actions  

If you trade Roberts

you create a huge hole in an infield that already has gaping ones. Huff may be back next year, but if not the O’s need a new 1st baseman. Mora should be gone after this year, and he has a no trade clause so you cant even think about trading him. The only real infield prospect the O’s have is at 1st and he’s struggling at AAA. Unless B-Rob brings back a bevvy of infield talent, there is no way you move him. Also, I think signing a guy for 4 years and immediately trading him sends the wrong message to a boat load of young talent that will surely be coveted by the larger markets in the future.

Besides, who do you replace him with? If the O’s want to contend in the next 1-2 years, there comes a time when you have to start keeping some players around. Contending teams want them for a reason.

Matt Wieters can get to the tootsie roll center of a tootsie pop in under one lick.

by daveh873 on Jul 17, 2009 10:31 AM EDT up reply actions  

dave basically summed it up

even though roberts has dropped off a bit this year, he’s still one of the best 2B in the league and a great leadoff hitter. he’s been battling some injuries and illnesses this year as well. but he wouldn’t have been signed to an extension if they didn’t wnat him to be part of the next winning team. macphail doesn’t work that way. the o’s are likely to be competitive next year and contend seriously in 2011, and although brian will be in his mid-30s, he will be a far better contributor than anyone alternative they might have on the farm.

June 30, 2009 — Birdland Day

by zknower on Jul 17, 2009 3:02 PM EDT up reply actions  

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