2009 Trade Deadline Preview: Seattle Mariners
Buyers or sellers?
If you frame it as "buy" vs. "sell," then it's a tricky question indeed, because on the one hand, the Mariners are only five games out of first in the AL West. On the other, there are two teams in front of them, they're about to lose two starting pitchers (Erik Bedard and Jarrod Washburn) to free agency, and they lost 101 games last year.
I might look for new GM Jack Zdurencik to do something that doesn't fall clearly on either side, and I'm not sure what that will be. But Zdurencik is too smart for obvious binaries. Take the recent trade of Yuniesky Betancourt to the Royals for pitching prospects Dan Cortes and Derrick Saito. Sure, that looks like selling, but when you're just getting rid of a terrible player and a terrible contract, you're probably not making the team worse.
I don't think the Mariners will give up any good prospects to make a run at a flashy veteran, so they won't be buying in the traditional sense, but they might find more creative ways to improve. One possibility would be to flip Bedard or Washburn for a player who won't be a free agent at the end of the season but can still provide immediate help.
Short-term need
The Mariners' catchers have been among the worst in the majors and, like a number of contending teams, they could use a bit more pitching depth, both in the bullpen and in the rotation. A real answer at shortstop--Ronny Cedeno might not be enough--could help, too.
Long-term need
Infield prospects--shortstop Carlos Triunfel is a high-risk prospect who could turn out to be very good, and there are a fair number of interesting third basemen in the minors, but there aren't enough middle infielders or first basemen. They could also use prospects of all stripes, particularly in the higher levels of the system. Zdurencik's predecessor Bill Bavasi didn't do the M's any favors by shipping off a number of promising youngsters for Bedard and by pursuing a bizarre drafting strategy that included drafting relievers in the first round twice in a row (with Phillippe Aumont in 2007 and Joshua Fields in 2008, depending on how you look at it; the M's under Bavasi used Aumont as a starter, but then again you might count 2006 first-rounder Brandon Morrow as a reliever too, since Bavasi used him as one).
Big leaguers on the market?
Erik Bedard and Jarrod Washburn, who are both pitching well and will both be free agents after the season, might be available. With the recent acquisition of Ryan Langerhans, outfielder Wladimir Balentien could go. And while David Aardsma's name isn't coming up with any regularity, Eric Karabell makes a compelling case that Aardsma might be the the sort of player the M's would consider trading--he's racking up saves, which are often overvalued.
Minor league strength
Their pitching depth could use some work, but Michael Saunders, Ezequiel Carrera, and Tyson Gillies are a very good corps of young outfielders. Greg Halman, who has hit a ton of homers this year and done little else, would fit into the middle of that list, too, if he were hitting better than .212. Second-overall draft pick Dustin Ackley will top the list if he signs.
Take on short-term money to win?
Dumping Betancourt should allow the Mariners to add salary at the deadline if they need to.
For more on the Mariners, check out Lookout Landing.
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Comments
Wrong, wrong, wrong
1. Phillipe Aumont was drafted as a starter. He wasn’t converted into a reliever until around the time of the WBS, which was a Jack Z and Co. decision.
2. How can you say that the team with the best ERA in the AL by almost 0.40 runs/game needs more pitching depth? Leaving out Bedard/Hernandez/Washburn, they have Olsen, Jakubauskas, Vargas, Batista, and Morrow when he gets back from AAA.
3. There is a huge overabundance of first basemen in Tacoma, their AAA squad. Mike Carp, Brian LaHair, and Jeff Clement are all capable of playing first base. In fact, to make room for LaHair they moved him out to LF just to keep him in the lineup.
Undoubtedly there are areas where they need improvement, but some of your statements are misguided.
I changed the Aumont comment, which indeed was misleading. Thanks for bringing that to my attention.
I’m not a big believer in a lot of the Mariners’ back-end or bullpen options, frankly—a lot of guys the M’s have putting up sparkly ERAs have been inconsistent or outright bad in past years, and probably owe a big chunk of their apparent success to Seattle’s improved defense. If you have to depend on Jakubauskas or Batista to start, or someone like Sean White in the ‘pen, those aren’t great options and you could use more depth, half-season ERAs notwithstanding.
Having a few guys who can play first at AAA is not the same as having real prospects there. Carp is, I guess, a Grade C+ prospect; LaHair isn’t a prospect at all; and if the M’s are going to find some use for Clement, I’m not sure what it is. Also, my understanding is that Clement has only played a few games at first.
Aardsma
Anyone who thinks the M’s should trade Aarsdma is crazy and apparently doesn’t realize how many games he has saved.
If we really are not going to try for the playoffs, then sure, trade him and get a whole LOT of bang for the buck. Otherwise, he is critical to our immediate future. Remember what happened when Morrow tried to save 2 games…it wasn’t pretty.
Whoo, saves. :(
Too bad Aardsma doesn’t have a great W-L record. /snark
@bs_uf15bosox9be:OverTheMonster-ALLERGEN WARNING:May contain PB.

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