2009 Trade Deadline Preview: Atlanta Braves
Buyers or sellers?
The Braves have a 51-48 record, good for second in the NL East and 7 games back of the Phillies. While the Braves consider themselves contenders (they are only 3 games back in the Wildcard race), they like the team they've built and won't look to make any big moves. From the look of things, the Braves are going to stand pat at the trade deadline.
Short-term need
The Braves have a nice infield with Brian McCann, Chipper Jones, and Yunel Escobar leading the way. Martin Prado has put together a good season and while Kelly Johnson has struggled his BABIP is .250 (compared to his .316 career BABIP) so he should rebound. Casey Kotchman is the only weak link and the Braves could stand to add a power hitting first baseman.
The outfield on the other hand isn't very good. The trade for Nate McClouth solidified the center field position but the combination of Garrett Anderson, Matt Diaz, Brandon Jones, and Ryan Church at the corners haven't carried their weight. A trade for a power outfield bat would be a big help but don't expect that to occur.
The pitching has been quite good and the Braves don't really need to add much here.. Javier Vasquez is performing like an ace and Derek Lowe and Jair Jurrjens have both pitched admirably. Kenshin Kawakami is solid in the #4 spot and Tommy Hanson is getting his feet wet as the #5 starter. Rafael Soriano has been a rock solid close and set-up men Peter Moylan and Mike Gonzalez have both done their jobs well. The Braves might add a decent reliever here but the pitching looks mostly set.
Long-term need
The Braves look like they won't have to many needs to fill for the near future. The infield should stay the same except for Freddie Freeman eventually replacing Kotchman at first base. The Braves will need to find a replacement for Chipper Jones eventually but for now he is stil going strong. A combination of McClouth, Jason Heyward, and Jordan Schafer along with role players like Matt Diaz and Brandon should make the outfield a team strength.
The rotation will be anchored by Hanson, Jurrjens, Lowe, and Kawakami for the next few years at least. The front office will probably let Javier Vasquex leave after 2010 when he reaches free agency but some young arms from the minors could potentially fill his spot in the rotation. The bullpen may have some holes as Gonzalez and Soriano are both approaching free agency. This should be the area the Braves focus on improving most either by converting some pitching prospects to relief or looking to obtain some relief help through trades.
Big leaguers on the market?
Because the Braves aren't expected to make any major trades, there shouldn't be many big leaguers on the trade market. It's possible they could trade someone like Kelly Johnson or Mike Gonzalez if they received the right young players in return.
Minor league strength
The Braves farm system has some potential impact players and good pitching depth. That starts with Tommy Hanson, one of the best pitching prospects in baseball. Since being called up to the big leagues the 22 year-old has made 9 starts and sports a 2.95 ERA. This comes after dominating in Triple-A where he had a 1.49 ERA and a 90/17 K/BB ratio in 66.1 innings. Fellow 22 year-old Kris Medlen also dominated in Triple-A (5-0 with a 1.19 ERA and a 44/10 K/BB ratio) but has struggled a bit in his brief time in the majors so far. Lefty Cole Rohrbough has good stuff but has struggled with his control in High-A. Another young arm, Julio Teheran, has only made six starts but has a 3.03 ERA with a 28/6 K/BB ratio. Teheran is currently in Rookie ball but is only 18 years-old.
As for hitters the Braves have two big time power bats at Double-A Mississippi, Jason Heyward and Freddie Freeman. Heyward is only 19 and put up a .401 wOBA (weighted on-base average) in High-A before being promoted. In Double-A so far he is 27-64 with 14 extra base hits, 11 walks, and only 5 strikeouts. Did I mention that the outfielder is 6'4" 220 lb. and has a great throwing arm? Expect him to be in the big leagues by next year at the latest. Freeman is a big, strong first baseman who's also only 19. He's put up an OPS in the .840's at both of his minor league stops this year.
Take on short-term money to win?
While the Braves have shown a willingness to take on salary in the past when they needed too, there don't figure to be any such moves this year. The Braves aren't expected to trade for more than a decent reliever or bench player.
For more coverage of the Braves, check out Talking Chop.
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Comments
I wouldn’t call Kotchman a weak link. His defensive abilities have saved quite a few runs this season (1.000FLD% in like 80 games started) and has made Yunel Escobar look really great. He certainly isn’t going to hit for much power (5HR), but he gets solid contact and works the count (.279/.350/.397).
Also, you forgot to mention Tim Hudson, the Braves “other” ace coming back from Tommy John Surgery. Hudson pitched 4 scoreless innings at AAA last night. He should be coming back to Atlanta within the next few weeks, and could possibly bump Kenshin Kawakami into the bullpen (or maybe open a Vazquez trade). After a solid rookie April, Kawakami has pitched wonderfully in May, June, and July.
A man walks into a meat shoppe and goes to the counter. The cashier asks, "Thinking about buying some meat?". The man replied, "No, I'm going to buy meat, I was thinking about punanny."
This team seems to be poised to make a run this year and the next,
but I am worried how their roster looks long-term. Outside Escobar and McCann and two of the young outfielders, I don’t see Chipper, Kotchman, and Church on this team in the next 4 years…
"I occasionally post and offer little to no insight here on AN except emotional ramblings. Do I remind you of someone? (Nomar maybe?)"
Kotchman and Church could be replaced as soon as next season. The Braves have 19 year olds RF-Jason Heyward and 1st-Freddie Freeman itching to take over. Heyward and Freeman are jointly destroying AA Mississippi right now and showing that they could be ready for MLB very soon. Join them with Escobar, Hanson, McCann, and Jurrjens and its clear to see that Atlanta has the talent to remain a contender after some of the present players leave.
A man walks into a meat shoppe and goes to the counter. The cashier asks, "Thinking about buying some meat?". The man replied, "No, I'm going to buy meat, I was thinking about punanny."
by bwellnjonesco on Jul 28, 2009 1:13 PM EDT up reply actions
I'm actually pretty excited.
They’ve got Heyward and Schafer in the OF, and McCann, Freeman and Escobar for the infield. That leaves 2B, 3B and LF as positions without a super obvious long term solution inside the system right now as far as position players go.
Their starting pitching staff has Hanson, Jurrjens, and Medlen right now.
by OldDutchPots on Jul 28, 2009 1:13 PM EDT up reply actions
Prado? I know he hasn’t been highly regarded as he’s climbed through the system but he was a .330 or so hitter in the minors and he’s brought that great contact with him to the majors. I get that it could be upgraded but you can’t have an all star at every position. I think the 3B problem could be solved with a Vazquez trade in the winter (perhaps the cubs and vitters, brewers and lawrie, etc). It’ll be easy to find a LF before McLouth’s contract is up
by McCann's the Man on Jul 28, 2009 9:49 PM EDT up reply actions
Kotchman=Gold Glove
the dude is nasty with his D, and hes not a big time power hitter but he should be able to belt more than 20 HRs. The Braves will catch up to the Phillies, they have the pitching to do so…
They want power, We want respect...
by SenorChuckles on Jul 28, 2009 12:55 PM EDT up reply actions
Good work
I wonder if they could somehow acquire Dunn. It might cost alot, but GM Mike Rizzo is buying, not selling. I bet they will stay like you said, maybe adding a corner outfield.
Carlos Guillen, the Latino Punto
I think a guy like Wuertz from the A’s makes sense in upgrading the bullpen. If I’m Frank Wren though, I at least check with the Indians what it takes to get Victor Martinez. The Braves can’t offer a great pitching spec. like Buchholz but we can couple Kris Medlen with some high upside arms like Zeke Spruill. However if the price isn’t right, I’m fine with Kotchman holding the seat warm until 2011, when Freeman projects to be ready.
by McCann's the Man on Jul 28, 2009 9:46 PM EDT reply actions
this article
Let’s re-hash some old stuff since it doesn’t appear the trade dead-line is going to bring any moves.
BC loves to lean on tried and true props, and GREG NORTON has certainly been that – in the past. But this season, he has dropped the ball at the plate, yet COX keeps sending him up, hoping against hope positive things will transpire. For the most part, that’s been a forlorn hope. It’s time to get another back-up 1B. The dump would result in eating the balance of his contract. And it’s JOHN MALONE’s money, not mine. So I can’t say blow off the roughly million balance and let him go.
I will be pleased however to see a rejuvenated OMAR INFANTE back with the club. Plug him in at second for three games to get his batting eye back, and give KOTCHMAN a rest while playing PRADO at first. Pull KJ to the 15 day DL, then make a decision as to who stays or goes.

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