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AL Standings Projection

Jumping ahead now to the AL Standings Projections, starting with the AL East:

AL EAST

Red Sox - 96 - 66

Yankees - 92 - 70*

Rays - 90 - 72 

Orioles - 77 - 85

Blue Jays - 71 - 91

- Red Sox have strong offense, solid speed, and a very dangers rotation lead by Josh Beckett, Jon Lester, and John Lackey. (Oh wait, they still got Dice-K, Clay Buchholz, and Tim Wakefield)

- Can Jorge Posada and Nick Johnson stay healthy? How will the outfield fair with no Hideki Matsui or Johnny Damon? Can Phil Hughes and Joba Chamberlain build on solid 2009 campaigns? 

- The Rays do not have much room for error after their bullpen took a hit. They will also need big years from pitchers Wade Davis and David Price.

AL CENTRAL

White Sox - 84 - 78

Twins - 83 - 79

Tigers - 81 - 81

Indians - 78-84

Royals - 73 - 89

- The White Sox do not have payroll flexibility to add someone midseason, but they may not have to. If Carlos Quentin and Alex Rios can return to form, they will take a lot of pressure off Gordon Beckham and Mark Teahen to produce, allowing them to ease into new situations in Chicago. The pitching is also expected to be solid.

- The Twins will be forced to shuffle their bullpen around, which doesn't help considering the team is without a proven ace. The offense should be there, which should keep them alive. The fact that the Twins did not pursue Heath Bell this spring makes me think they will be on the prowl for a starting pitcher at the trade deadline. Ben Sheets, anyone? 

- The Tigers will ride a sober Miguel Cabrera as long as possible, but they will need serious help from Scott Sizemore and Austin Jackson if they want to post 83 wins this season, or maybe even take the division. D-Train and Jeremy Bonderman will also need to contribute. 

AL WEST

Angels - 88 - 74

Mariners - 85 - 77

Rangers - 80 - 82

Athletics - 78 - 84

- As much as I want to hop on the Mariners bandwagon, the Angels will once again reign supreme in the West. Strong pitching, improved bullpen, and the possibility of a big bat from Brandon Wood, are just a few subplots to keep an eye on this season.

- With King Felix and Cliff Lee leading the way, Erik Bedard will have ample time to reestablish his value as a pitching ace. Trying to keep Milton Bradley healthy and away from the media may become a problem. 

- Josh Hamilton needs to stay healthy and Scott Feldman needs to at least match his 2009 numbers, if not build on them. Neftali Feliz and Elvis Andrus should also build on their rookie seasons. Ditto for Chris Davis, who they are counting on big time.

*wild card

AL CHAMPION

Angels

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Projections

It is impossible for 10 of 14 teams to be above .500 unless all 4 sub .500 teams all lose well over 100 games. All 4 teams in one division over .500 is also very improbable. For all those wins, someone has to be a loser.

by Jay Kane on Apr 4, 2010 12:31 PM EDT reply actions  

Improbable, sure, impossible, no.

The AL west is easily the strongest division in baseball, top to bottom.

Check out these games:

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by matthiasstephan on Apr 4, 2010 1:00 PM EDT up reply actions  

Also

The O’s record of 77-75 only equates to 152 games. I believe you may have meant 77-85.

by Jay Kane on Apr 4, 2010 12:32 PM EDT reply actions  

I see the Mariners coming out of the West, personally

Galactus does as he pleases. Because Galactus is drunk.

I have a five-tool player in my pants.

ACTUALLY, advanced metrics show that that wasn't "premature".

@#$%ing Twit: @blogtard

by Bloggy on Apr 4, 2010 6:16 PM EDT reply actions  

Top 3 teams in baseball

Are 1,2 ,3 in the AL East. I believe that the Orioles would beat the A’s if in the AL West. The records of Baltimore and Toronto will be skewed by playing NY, Boston and TB for 58 games of the season.

My point was that if a division is collectively well above .500, the losses have to come from somewhere else. Collectively the entire AL has to be a .500 record not including the + or – of playing the NL….. generally well above .500. I believe.

The above Projections have the AL East 42 games above .500; -14 games for the AL Central; and 16 games over .500 in the AL West. That is 44 games over .500 collectively for the AL… Just not possible. I guess if all the AL teams win ALL of the games against the NL it is possible.

by Jay Kane on Apr 4, 2010 6:41 PM EDT reply actions  

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