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Good morning baseball fans!
The Seattle Mariners shut down Danny Hultzen "indefinitely".
Extending Adrian Beltre would be a bad move for the Rangers, says our own Mike Bates.
Essentially, the Rangers' choice is whether it's worth paying Beltre for two or three years to get his production at age 38. Twenty-eight hitters have managed a WAR of at least 2.5 at age 38 since 1947, and barring a total collapse for Beltre in 2016, that seems like a realistic baseline. Given that the Rangers are already projected to have a payroll around $150 million next year, is keeping Beltre around at something like three years and $45 million worth it for a club that still has to find room for Joey Gallo and Jurickson Profar?
The answer, for me, is probably not. Beltre would have to play at a significantly reduced rate that makes moving him into a reduced role more palatable, or he needs to find somewhere else to play. Sadly, either way we'd see far less of Elvis Andrus touching Beltre's head. Which, to me, is worth at least a couple extra million bucks, but probably not enough to keep him around.
Jarrod Parker threw one pitch yesterday and left the mound screaming in pain.
Bryce Harper is making the rounds, mainly because he wants to change the game.
What happens when projections systems don't agree on a player? Ryan Romano of Beyond the Box Score explores.
Buxton leads the list and it's not even that close. ZiPS pegs him at a .311 wOBA, and Steamer projects a mark of .307, so offense doesn't cause this disagreement. The systems instead diverge when it comes to defense: The former thinks he'll save the Twins 13.0 runs, whereas the latter expects him to cost Minnesota 0.6 runs. Buxton's glove has an immaculate reputation — prospect analysts at both FanGraphs and Baseball Prospectushave given it a future grade of 70 — and if it can live up to that, his stardom will come sooner rather than later.
Turner and Carter each have multiple sources driving their gaps; I've covered both of them previously. Herrera debuted in 2015 with a 3.9-fWAR effort, on the back of two things: a .389 BABIP and 9.9 UZR. Staving off serious regression in both regards would help him fulfill ZiPS's projection, and a sophomore slump would prove Steamer correct. Through the past two seasons, Martinez has notched a monstrous .247 ISO, which ZiPS predicts will continue (.252 projection) and Steamer does not (.213 projection). Martinez' entire game revolves around power, so it is unsurprising the disagreement in projections does as well.
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Today in Baseball History: In 1958, the American League requires batters to wear batting helmets.